tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Houston via Philadelphia: arrives on time 57%

  1. 10:54 ORF → 12:09 PHL
    AA 6122 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 15m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:02 PHL → 15:47 IAH
    AA 1925 · American · 3h 45m · 81% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 53mORF 10:54 to IAH 15:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.