tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Greenville → Denver via Philadelphia: arrives on time 40%

  1. 14:29 GSP → 16:29 PHL
    AA 6132 · American, flown by Piedmont · 2h 00m · 67% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 PHL → 19:45 DEN
    AA 3158 · American · 4h 15m · 64% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Greenville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 16mGSP 14:29 to DEN 19:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.