tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Everett via Las Vegas: arrives on time 51%

  1. 17:15 SAN → 18:41 LAS
    AS 2018 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 26m · 59% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 LAS → 22:30 PAE
    AS 366 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 83% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 15mSAN 17:15 to PAE 22:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.