tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Chicago via San Diego: arrives on time 22%

  1. 15:13 PHX → 16:35 SAN
    AS 2028 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 22m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:23 SAN → 23:36 ORD
    AS 1493 · Alaska · 4h 13m · 70% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection31%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 69% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (31%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 23mPHX 15:13 to ORD 23:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.