tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → San Jose via San Diego: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:13 PHX → 16:35 SAN
    AS 2028 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 22m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:37 SAN → 19:11 SJC
    AS 3068 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 70% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip3h 58mPHX 15:13 to SJC 19:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.