tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Everett via San Diego: arrives on time 65%

  1. 15:13 PHX → 16:35 SAN
    AS 2028 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 22m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 SAN → 22:00 PAE
    AS 2189 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 3h 00m · 69% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 47mPHX 15:13 to PAE 22:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.