tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 61%

  1. 19:50 MFR → 21:12 SEA
    AS 2040 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 22m · 84% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 SEA → 23:30 PDX
    AS 1457 · Alaska · 1h 01m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip3h 40mMFR 19:50 to PDX 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.