tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Reno via San Diego: arrives on time 62%

  1. 07:11 PHX → 08:36 SAN
    AS 2045 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 25m · 81% on time, 15.7% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 SAN → 11:27 RNO
    AS 3110 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 57m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (15.7% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip4h 16mPHX 07:11 to RNO 11:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.