tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Eugene → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 EUG → 07:08 SEA
    AS 2046 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 08m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:34 SEA → 14:46 ORD
    AS 265 · Alaska · 4h 12m · 77% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Eugene). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 46mEUG 06:00 to ORD 14:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.