tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Phoenix via San Diego: arrives on time 9%

  1. 18:42 SFO → 20:21 SAN
    AS 2058 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 39m · 32% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:19 SAN → 22:39 PHX
    AS 2049 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 20m · 36% on time, 15.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection31%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 69% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (31%) × second flight not cancelled (15.4% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip3h 57mSFO 18:42 to PHX 22:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.