tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Los Angeles via San Francisco: arrives on time 17%

  1. 17:51 BZN → 19:25 SFO
    AS 2063 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 34m · 18% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:43 SFO → 22:16 LAX
    AS 1608 · Alaska · 1h 33m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 25mBZN 17:51 to LAX 22:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.