tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Eugene → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 39%

  1. 09:45 EUG → 10:53 SEA
    AS 2073 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 08m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:50 SEA → 14:57 PHX
    AS 1371 · Alaska · 3h 07m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 12mEUG 09:45 to PHX 14:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.