Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Eugene → Denver via Seattle: arrives on time 34%

  1. 09:45 EUG → 10:53 SEA
    AS 2073 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 08m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:44 SEA → 15:38 DEN
    AS 535 · Alaska · 2h 54m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Eugene). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 53mEUG 09:45 to DEN 15:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.