tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Eugene → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 26%

  1. 09:45 EUG → 10:53 SEA
    AS 2073 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 08m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:42 SEA → 14:04 SFO
    AS 655 · Alaska · 2h 22m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection37%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 63% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (37%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 19mEUG 09:45 to SFO 14:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.