tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → San Francisco via Spokane: arrives on time 63%

  1. 14:22 SEA → 15:25 GEG
    AS 2074 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 03m · 84% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Spokane (GEG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:21 GEG → 18:45 SFO
    AS 3070 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 23mSEA 14:22 to SFO 18:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.