tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Redmond → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 40%

  1. 09:44 RDM → 10:57 SEA
    AS 2076 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 13m · 71% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:47 SEA → 14:54 PHX
    AS 417 · Alaska · 3h 07m · 78% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 10mRDM 09:44 to PHX 14:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.