tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Redmond → Denver via Seattle: arrives on time 32%

  1. 09:44 RDM → 10:57 SEA
    AS 2076 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 13m · 71% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:44 SEA → 15:38 DEN
    AS 535 · Alaska · 2h 54m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Redmond). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 54mRDM 09:44 to DEN 15:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.