tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → San Diego via Portland: arrives on time 44%

  1. 15:52 MFR → 16:50 PDX
    AS 2081 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 58m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 PDX → 20:18 SAN
    AS 369 · Alaska · 2h 38m · 57% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 26mMFR 15:52 to SAN 20:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.