tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → Seattle via Portland: arrives on time 54%

  1. 15:52 MFR → 16:50 PDX
    AS 2081 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 58m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:38 PDX → 20:33 SEA
    AS 2313 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 55m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip4h 41mMFR 15:52 to SEA 20:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.