tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → San Diego via Oakland: arrives on time 45%

  1. 17:33 PDX → 19:23 OAK
    AS 2082 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 50m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Oakland (OAK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 OAK → 21:47 SAN
    AS 2229 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 37m · 54% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 14mPDX 17:33 to SAN 21:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.