tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Billings → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 56%

  1. 19:22 BIL → 20:35 SEA
    AS 2084 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 13m · 84% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:28 SEA → 22:25 PDX
    AS 498 · Alaska · 57m · 74% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h behind Billings). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 03mBIL 19:22 to PDX 22:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.