tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boise → San Francisco via Las Vegas: arrives on time 41%

  1. 16:15 BOI → 17:12 LAS
    AS 2087 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 57m · 84% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:03 LAS → 19:41 SFO
    AS 634 · Alaska · 1h 38m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Boise). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 26mBOI 16:15 to SFO 19:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.