tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Las Vegas via Portland: arrives on time 75%

  1. 08:13 SMF → 09:47 PDX
    AS 2095 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 34m · 91% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 PDX → 13:11 LAS
    AS 757 · Alaska · 2h 26m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 58mSMF 08:13 to LAS 13:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.