tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Seattle via Portland: arrives on time 81%

  1. 08:13 SMF → 09:47 PDX
    AS 2095 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 34m · 91% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:03 PDX → 13:03 SEA
    AS 3078 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 86% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 50mSMF 08:13 to SEA 13:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.