tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Spokane via Portland: arrives on time 25%

  1. 19:13 OAK → 20:50 PDX
    AS 2096 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 37m · 32% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 PDX → 22:59 GEG
    AS 1356 · Alaska · 1h 09m · 85% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection32%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 68% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (32%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip3h 46mOAK 19:13 to GEG 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.