tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Chicago via Anchorage: arrives on time 64%

  1. 20:41 FAI → 21:44 ANC
    AS 2099 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 03m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Anchorage (ANC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:21 ANC → 08:35 ORD +1 day
    AS 1543 · Alaska · 6h 14m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 3 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip8h 54mFAI 20:41 to ORD 08:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.