tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Seattle via Anchorage: arrives on time 58%

  1. 17:15 FAI → 18:18 ANC
    AS 2102 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 03m · 88% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Anchorage (ANC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:08 ANC → 23:43 SEA
    AS 1333 · Alaska · 3h 35m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 1 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 28mFAI 17:15 to SEA 23:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.