tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Minneapolis via Anchorage: arrives on time 94%

  1. 17:15 FAI → 18:18 ANC
    AS 2102 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 03m · 88% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 34m layover in Anchorage (ANC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:52 ANC → 06:18 MSP +1 day
    AS 1540 · Alaska · 5h 26m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 3 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 169 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 34m layover.
Arrives on time94%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip10h 03mFAI 17:15 to MSP 06:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.