tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Chicago via Anchorage: arrives on time 80%

  1. 17:15 FAI → 18:18 ANC
    AS 2102 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 03m · 88% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Anchorage (ANC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:24 ANC → 06:40 ORD +1 day
    AS 1724 · Alaska · 6h 16m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 3 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip10h 25mFAI 17:15 to ORD 06:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.