tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Phoenix via Boise: arrives on time 49%

  1. 11:36 SEA → 14:07 BOI
    AS 2106 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 31m · 71% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Boise (BOI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:55 BOI → 16:14 PHX
    AS 3095 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 19m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip4h 38mSEA 11:36 to PHX 16:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.