tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → San Francisco via Portland: arrives on time 55%

  1. 19:35 MFR → 20:34 PDX
    AS 2107 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 59m · 88% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 PDX → 23:36 SFO
    AS 2112 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 51m · 64% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 01mMFR 19:35 to SFO 23:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.