tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → Seattle via Portland: arrives on time 76%

  1. 19:35 MFR → 20:34 PDX
    AS 2107 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 59m · 88% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 PDX → 22:27 SEA
    AS 2421 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 57m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 2h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip2h 52mMFR 19:35 to SEA 22:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.