tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → San Diego via Seattle: arrives on time 45%

  1. 08:19 PDX → 09:14 SEA
    AS 2108 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 55m · 92% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:03 SEA → 13:01 SAN
    AS 467 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 63% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 42mPDX 08:19 to SAN 13:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.