tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Kahului via Seattle: arrives on time 65%

  1. 08:19 PDX → 09:14 SEA
    AS 2108 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 55m · 92% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 SEA → 13:19 OGG
    AS 929 · Alaska · 6h 04m · 72% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 00mPDX 08:19 to OGG 13:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.