tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 10:31 MFR → 11:53 SEA
    AS 2114 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 22m · 69% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:44 SEA → 16:45 PHX
    AS 700 · Alaska · 3h 01m · 81% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 14mMFR 10:31 to PHX 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.