tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Spokane → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 33%

  1. 14:39 GEG → 15:49 SEA
    AS 2119 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 10m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:36 SEA → 18:48 SFO
    AS 1385 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 71% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 09mGEG 14:39 to SFO 18:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.