tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → Dallas-Fort Worth via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 18:19 MRY → 20:35 SEA
    AS 2128 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 16m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 28m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:03 SEA → 05:02 DFW +1 day
    AS 542 · Alaska · 3h 59m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Monterey). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 28m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 43mMRY 18:19 to DFW 05:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.