tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 90%

  1. 19:59 MSO → 20:33 SEA
    AS 2138 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 34m · 41% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:56 SEA → 06:02 ORD +1 day
    AA 2881 · American · 4h 06m · 94% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip9h 03mMSO 19:59 to ORD 06:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.