tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 88%

  1. 19:59 MSO → 20:33 SEA
    AS 2138 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 34m · 41% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:59 SEA → 05:17 MSP +1 day
    DL 953 · Delta · 3h 18m · 91% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip8h 18mMSO 19:59 to MSP 05:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.