tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → Portland via San Francisco: arrives on time 62%

  1. 11:05 PAE → 13:16 SFO
    AS 2139 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 11m · 50% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:02 SFO → 16:47 PDX
    AS 1302 · Alaska · 1h 45m · 76% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 42mPAE 11:05 to PDX 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.