tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → Las Vegas via San Francisco: arrives on time 71%

  1. 11:05 PAE → 13:16 SFO
    AS 2139 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 11m · 50% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 44m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 SFO → 18:45 LAS
    AS 1362 · Alaska · 1h 45m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 4 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 179 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 44m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 40mPAE 11:05 to LAS 18:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.