tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → Los Angeles via San Francisco: arrives on time 56%

  1. 11:05 PAE → 13:16 SFO
    AS 2139 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 11m · 50% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 SFO → 18:06 LAX
    AS 1523 · Alaska · 1h 36m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip7h 01mPAE 11:05 to LAX 18:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.