tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 69%

  1. 10:26 BZN → 11:23 SEA
    AS 2141 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 57m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:10 SEA → 19:21 ORD
    AS 410 · Alaska · 4h 11m · 72% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 55mBZN 10:26 to ORD 19:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.