tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 79%

  1. 10:26 BZN → 11:23 SEA
    AS 2141 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 57m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:30 SEA → 19:56 MSP
    DL 942 · Delta · 3h 26m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 30mBZN 10:26 to MSP 19:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.