tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 69%

  1. 10:26 BZN → 11:23 SEA
    AS 2141 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 57m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:30 SEA → 16:50 SFO
    DL 3707 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 20m · 71% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 24mBZN 10:26 to SFO 16:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.