tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Newark via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 10:26 BZN → 11:23 SEA
    AS 2141 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 57m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:23 SEA → 23:49 EWR
    UA 2100 · United · 5h 26m · 85% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 11h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip11h 23mBZN 10:26 to EWR 23:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.