tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 47%

  1. 10:51 SBA → 13:26 SEA
    AS 2143 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 35m · 82% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:44 SEA → 16:37 SMF
    AS 2401 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 53m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 15 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 46mSBA 10:51 to SMF 16:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.