tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 07:00 MSO → 07:32 SEA
    AS 2153 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 32m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:22 SEA → 16:53 ORD
    AA 2523 · American · 4h 28m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 50mMSO 07:00 to ORD 16:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.