tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:00 MSO → 07:32 SEA
    AS 2153 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 32m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:34 SEA → 14:46 ORD
    AS 265 · Alaska · 4h 12m · 77% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 46mMSO 07:00 to ORD 14:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.