tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:00 MSO → 07:32 SEA
    AS 2153 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 32m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:29 SEA → 12:47 SFO
    UA 1482 · United · 2h 18m · 71% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 87 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 47mMSO 07:00 to SFO 12:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.